The NHL couldn’t pass up a Saturday night time slot on ABC and started the Philadelphia/Carolina series before the first round ended. (Sidenote, there goes conspiracy theories about leagues tinkering in results: a Pittsburgh/Philadelphia Game 7 would have filled that spot really nicely, but alas). We went 3-1 on the East in the first round, whiffing on the Pens loss but getting the Montreal upset over Tampa right. I realized I forgot/ran out of time with the Pens’ run to write the East, would have been 3-1 in that too by missing the Ducks advancing past Edmonton but getting the rest of them.
Now it’s onto the NHL’s version of the Elite 8.
Philadelphia vs. Carolina
I don’t think anyone needed to see Game 1 to see where the wind was blowing on this matchup (pun intended), the Hurricanes have too much for the Flyers. That was on display in a 3-0 win on Saturday where the Flyers only mustered 19 shots on goal. Add in the injury to Owen Tippett and the uphill battle for the Flyers becomes all the more tougher a climb. I’m rooting for the funniest outcome where a Carolina sweep would put them into the next round before Buffalo/Montreal even play their Game 3. Thinking that happens, if not a gentleman’s sweep if the Flyers can win a home game.
Prediction: Carolina in 4
Buffalo vs. Montreal
Ahh, the Atlantic Division comes down to the Sabres and Canadiens, just as everyone suspected in the fall. Montreal is perhaps lucky to be here after playing rope-a-dope and only getting nine shots in goal in Game 7 and requiring a pair of greasy goals to dispatch Tampa. Still, they deserve credit all the same for making this far and Jakub Dobes in net is providing a huge boost to them. Buffalo is a little shakier in net, though Alex Lyon only surrendered five goals over the five games he played in and has become the man of the moment for the Sabres. The key to this series might be the power play, Buffalo advanced over Boston despite going 1-for-24 in the man advantage. That won’t cut it this time around. This series could be about coin flip odds, something about Montreal’s hot goalie and young talent is too tough to resist considering the Sabres aren’t scoring on the power play and resorting to lightning in a bottle with their goaltender situation.
Prediction: Montreal in 7
Vegas vs. Anaheim
Anaheim is perhaps the surprise team of the playoffs for the way they took care of the Oilers, weathering the best shots that Leon Draisaitl (10 points) and an injured Connor McDavid (6 points) could give. Those guys are always going to get theirs, but as usual their team’s roster weaknesses got exploited, this time by the Ducks. The Ducks’ pressure completely overwhelmed the shaky Edmonton team defense and goaltending, scoring 26 goals in the six games (4.33 average). Vegas showed some vulnerabilities against Utah (giving up 3.0 goals per game) and Carter Hart (.898 save%) hasn’t been THE guy, so much as the guy that the Golden Knights have right now. Jackson Lacombe was barely used in the Olympics and is making a star turn (nine points in six games, plus solid play defensively). Between the young talent Anaheim has, the goaltending matchup and the coaching edge of Quenneville over Tortorella to tip the scales for a slight upset (betting lines current have Anaheim +140 and Vegas at -165).
Prediction: Anaheim in 6
Colorado vs. Minnesota
The heavyweight battle! The NHL’s divisional format usually gives that one monster second round matchup where the two teams involved are very much Stanley Cup worthy, and that certainly applies in the Central Division this year. The Avalanche coasted to a pretty easy win over Los Angeles, sweeping them without even needing to come out of third gear. The Wild had a much tougher first round matchup against Dallas. It was tight (besides Game 1’s big 6-1 Minnesota win, the other five games were one-goal contests until empty netters, and featured two OT games) but the Wild came out on top in relatively convincing fashion considering the circumstances. The Avs haven’t even played since April 26th, prior to last night’s Game 1. (This is being written just as the game started, so while you’ll know the result reading it on Monday, we don’t as of now). Hopefully for hockey’s sake, it will be a long series. In the end, gotta like the star power of the Avalanche and the form they are in right now. This looks like a year where Nathan MacKinnon and company aren’t going to be denied.
Prediction: Colorado in 6
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As of now with the way the bracket is breaking, it’s looking like the SCF could be a showdown between the top two regular season teams (Colorado and Carolina). We’re still a long way from getting there, Colorado’s path through Minnesota and Anaheim/Vegas next round is no cake walk and Carolina is known for tripping up and running out of gas in the middle rounds. Overall though, it doesn’t look like too many Cinderella teams are primed to upset the apple cart. Maybe Montreal/Buffalo or Anaheim still have something to say about that. It’s pretty rare for the top two teams to both emerge at the end of three rounds of playoff action, we’ll have to see if Round 2 has some surprising outcomes to shake up the picture.
